Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 1.342984 1.609249 1.931952 2.357481 2.912416 3.623901 4.625887
2024-12-22 0.930148 1.225420 1.632452 2.254761 3.221249 4.739222 7.475662
2024-12-29 0.753513 1.062477 1.530787 2.334490 3.778811 6.505057 12.808149
2025-01-05 0.630462 0.933923 1.427483 2.354021 4.230813 8.396170 20.679795
2025-01-12 0.532004 0.817040 1.305594 2.288334 4.480327 10.068871 30.814885
2025-01-19 0.462638 0.732341 1.215688 2.248450 4.762479 12.083829 46.762535
2025-01-26 0.431347 0.706245 1.224359 2.411852 5.624771 16.726763 91.693751
2025-02-02 0.400039 0.673766 1.212222 2.524287 6.432555 22.386758 183.690107
2025-02-09 0.364009 0.626149 1.158721 2.519251 6.895681 27.484163 339.430689
2025-02-16 0.329058 0.575368 1.088576 2.449957 7.113991 31.920736 599.075532
2025-02-23 0.307258 0.547664 1.063759 2.496294 7.802622 40.956585 1511.904438
2025-03-02 0.291722 0.530481 1.059396 2.600673 8.826226 55.946548 6255.072863
2025-03-09 0.272286 0.503123 1.027617 2.618334 9.533854 71.907402 39501.066877
2025-03-16 0.249395 0.465728 0.965626 2.523202 9.648230 82.759860 371164.456991
2025-03-23 0.238202 0.452552 0.961748 2.621116 10.902374 118.638114 NaN
2025-03-30 0.224938 0.433110 0.938448 2.645165 11.795123 159.144293 NaN
2025-04-06 0.209174 0.406257 0.891455 2.569151 12.008578 189.443412 NaN
2025-04-13 0.196156 0.384445 0.854915 2.522919 12.413235 234.809429 NaN
2025-04-20 0.192389 0.383837 0.876424 2.712877 14.853920 428.837396 NaN
2025-04-27 0.186715 0.378009 0.882293 2.843918 17.116634 765.046682 NaN
2025-05-04 0.177537 0.362692 0.858212 2.838045 18.170257 1126.022018 NaN
2025-05-11 0.167162 0.343485 0.819979 2.757262 18.394848 1449.300026 NaN
2025-05-18 0.161060 0.334395 0.811068 2.811270 20.248123 2647.978764 NaN